You Don't Need a Weatherman

March 10, 2011
After two very slow years at the Rental Show, it was quite a different story this time around. The attendance numbers have yet to be released as we go to press, but like the old Bob Dylan song that says “you don't need a weatherman to know which way the ...

After two very slow years at the Rental Show, it was quite a different story this time around. The attendance numbers have yet to be released as we go to press, but like the old Bob Dylan song that says “you don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows,” you don't need to know the attendance figures to know this was a significantly different rental trade show than what we saw the past two years. Check out our coverage at http://rermag.com/trends_analysis/headlinenews/strong-buying-marks-the-rental-show-2011-030311

All you had to do was walk the floor. Instead of seeing almost empty aisles this year there were lots of people in the aisles. All you had to do was ask manufacturers at the end of a day how their day went and have them smile and tell you buying was solid and leads were plentiful. The past two years if you closed your eyes, it would be so quiet, you could almost go to sleep. This year, you'd hear the animated buzz of conversation.

Asking rental people at the show how business was, people still sometimes hesitated a bit. “Fantastic” was not exactly the sentiment coming out of peoples' mouths, but “better than last year” was a common refrain.

During the past couple of years, I heard a number of exhibitors wonder if the trade show era was ending and if the ARA show had outlived its usefulness. They'd say that information about equipment was more accessible, so who needs to walk around a show floor to see it?

I strongly disagreed with that sentiment and disagree with it even more after this year's show. The shows were down the past two years because of the economy. During the past two years when the rental industry was in a severe downturn, few rental companies were buying equipment. People either didn't want to spend the money to go to the Rental Show or didn't want to be away from their businesses during such difficult times. We've been through these cycles before.

Is location a big part of it? I'm not so sure. Yes people prefer Las Vegas to Atlanta, but does anybody remember the Atlanta show in the mid-90s after the '92-'94 recession? It was one of the best ARA shows in history because market conditions were right for it.

There is still something about walking around the show floor and seeing a lot of equipment. While there are people now who buy cars on line, I'm one of the old-fashioned people who like to test drive and see the car I want to buy. I want to feel how it turns the corners and how it feels when I open it up on the freeway. I want to look at it and touch it and smell it. Plenty of rental company owners are the same way about the equipment they buy. And there is still a lot of value in meeting with suppliers, meeting with peers, and learning from the education sessions.

I'm pleased to say this year's show surpassed my expectations. I expected the show to be better than the past couple of years, but not to the degree that it was. A lot of the demand is pent-up replacement need as opposed to a dramatic sense that business is booming, but nonetheless the signs point upward.

I'm looking forward to next year's show in New Orleans. Is it because I like hanging out in the French Quarter, drinking hurricanes and eating crawfish etouffee? Partly. But I'm also looking forward to a continuing recovery in the rental market.

About the Author

Michael Roth | Editor

Michael Roth has covered the equipment rental industry full time for RER since 1989 and has served as the magazine’s editor in chief since 1994. He has nearly 30 years experience as a professional journalist. Roth has visited hundreds of rental centers and industry manufacturers, written hundreds of feature stories for RER and thousands of news stories for the magazine and its electronic newsletter RER Reports. Roth has interviewed leading executives for most of the industry’s largest rental companies and manufacturers as well as hundreds of smaller independent companies. He has visited with and reported on rental companies and manufacturers in Europe, Central America and Asia as well as Mexico, Canada and the United States. Roth was co-founder of RER Reports, the industry’s first weekly newsletter, which began as a fax newsletter in 1996, and later became an online newsletter. Roth has spoken at conventions sponsored by the American Rental Association, Associated Equipment Distributors, California Rental Association and other industry events and has spoken before industry groups in several countries. He lives and works in Los Angeles when he’s not traveling to cover industry events.